Current watchlist scenario · LA28
An editorial scenario for our current watchlist, not a complete forecast for all of Team Canada. Each row represents one event medal; athletes can win more than one.
400 m individual medley
Gold200 m butterfly
Gold200 m individual medley
GoldHammer throw
GoldHammer throw
Gold−57 kg
Silver800 m
Silver100 m butterfly
Silver100 m butterfly
Bronze200 m butterfly
BronzeThese medal colours are editorial projections, not confirmed results. Selection, qualification, injuries and the field may change the outlook.
Athletes on the watchlist 36
Swimming
200 fly · 200 IM · 400 IM · 400 free
Now training under Bob Bowman and still setting world records. Projected as Canada's headline act with a realistic shot at multiple golds.
Athletics
Hammer throw
Entering his peak throwing years as the event's benchmark. Consistency over 80 m makes him a heavy favourite to defend.
Athletics
Hammer throw
Completed Canada's historic hammer double in Paris. Experience and championship composure keep her at the front of the field.
Judo
−57 kg
Canada's first Olympic judo champion. Projection factors in a deep weight class and the demands of another four-year cycle.
Athletics
800 m
Front-running style that has already won a world title. In the fastest 800 m era ever, a medal is in reach every championship.
Swimming
100 fly · 100 free · relays
Sprint specialist in his prime by LA. Also anchors Canada's men's relay ambitions.
Swimming
100 fly · 200 fly
First Canadian man on an Olympic swimming podium since 2012. Still improving, with room to climb from bronze.
Additional athletes to watch; not counted in the projected total.
Athletics
400 m · 4×400 relay
Former NCAA champion who ran one of the world's fastest times before Paris. Needs to translate speed into a final.
Athletics
100 m · 4×100 relay
Broke the national record in 2024. A strong women's sprint relay could be her clearest route to a medal.
Swimming
200 breaststroke
Shocked the field in Irvine by beating Kate Douglass for her first senior international title. Says LA 2028 is the goal.
Surfing
Shortboard
Teen prodigy known for aerial surfing. LA's Lower Trestles break could suit her progressive style.
Track cycling
Omnium · Elimination
Illness hurt his Paris debut. A healthy run through this cycle puts him back among the endurance medal hopes.
Triathlon
Individual · Mixed relay
Chasing his first Olympic berth in the qualification window that opened in 2026. A long shot, but one to follow.
Canoe sprint
C1 200 m · C2 500 m
A proven Olympic medallist on our LA28 watchlist. Qualification and current form will determine the outlook.
Weightlifting
61 kg
A proven Olympic medallist on our LA28 watchlist. Qualification and current form will determine the outlook.
Fencing
Foil
A proven Olympic medallist on our LA28 watchlist. Qualification and current form will determine the outlook.
Taekwondo
−57 kg
A proven Olympic medallist on our LA28 watchlist. Qualification and current form will determine the outlook.
Trampoline
Individual
A proven Olympic medallist on our LA28 watchlist. Qualification and current form will determine the outlook.
Beach volleyball
Pairs
A team-event medal depends on the whole lineup. Individual athletes do not count as separate medals in our total.
Beach volleyball
Pairs
A team-event medal depends on the whole lineup. Individual athletes do not count as separate medals in our total.
Diving
10 m platform · 10 m synchro
A proven Olympic medallist on our LA28 watchlist. Qualification and current form will determine the outlook.
Rowing
Women's eight
A team-event medal depends on the whole lineup. Individual athletes do not count as separate medals in our total.
Athletics
100 m · 200 m · 4×100 m
A proven Olympic medallist on our LA28 watchlist. Qualification and current form will determine the outlook.
Athletics
100 m · 200 m · 4×100 m
A team-event medal depends on the whole lineup. Individual athletes do not count as separate medals in our total.
Athletics
Shot put
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
Athletics
Decathlon
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
Athletics
400 m hurdles · 4×400 m
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
Swimming
200 free · 200 IM · 200 breast
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
Swimming
200 IM · 100 free
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
Judo
−63 kg
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
BMX racing
BMX racing
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
Road cycling
Road race · time trial
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
Artistic gymnastics
All-around · team
An additional medal hopeful, not an event-level medal pick yet. Our estimate depends on qualification and championship form.
Basketball
Men
A team-event medal depends on the whole lineup. Individual athletes do not count as separate medals in our total.
Soccer
Women
A team-event medal depends on the whole lineup. Individual athletes do not count as separate medals in our total.
Rugby sevens
Women
A team-event medal depends on the whole lineup. Individual athletes do not count as separate medals in our total.